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Artificial Intelligence, Algorithmic Pricing, and Collusion

Emilio Calvano, Giacomo Calzolari, Vincenzo Denicolò, Sergio PastorelloEconomics微观经济学FT50
American Economic Review2020-09-28Toulouse School of Economics; European University Institute; GNA UniversityDOI
Citations522
Influential65
References66
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TL;DR

It is found that the algorithms consistently learn to charge supracompetitive prices, without communicating with one another, in a workhorse oligopoly model of repeated price competition.

Increasingly, algorithms are supplanting human decision-makers in pricing goods and services. To analyze the possible consequences, we study experimentally the behavior of algorithms powered by Artificial Intelligence (Q-learning) in a workhorse oligopoly model of repeated price competition. We find that the algorithms consistently learn to charge supracompetitive prices, without communicating with one another. The high prices are sustained by collusive strategies with a finite phase of punishment followed by a gradual return to cooperation. This finding is robust to asymmetries in cost or demand, changes in the number of players, and various forms of uncertainty. (JEL D21, D43, D83, L12, L13)

CollusionEconomicsCompetition (biology)MicroeconomicsOligopolyPunishment (psychology)Computer scienceCournot competitionPsychologyAuction Theory and ApplicationsGame Theory and ApplicationsEconomic theories and models