Getting Personal: A Deep Learning Artifact for Text-Based Measurement of Personality

Analysts, managers, and policymakers are interested in predictive analytics capable of offering better foresight. It is generally accepted that in forecasting scenarios involving organizational policies or consumer decision making, personal characteristics, including personality, may be an important predictor of downstream outcomes. The inclusion of personality features in forecasting models has been hindered by the fact that traditional measurement mechanisms are often infeasible. Text-based personality detection has garnered attention due to the public availability of digital textual traces, however state-of-the-art models proposed by IBM, Google, Facebook, and academic research are not accurate enough to be used for downstream real-world forecasting tasks. We propose a novel text-based personality measurement approach that improves detection of personality dimensions by 10–20 percentage points relative to the best existing methods developed in industry and academia. Using case studies in the finance and health domains, we show that more accurate text-based personality detection can translate into significant improvements in downstream applications such as forecasting future firm performance or predicting pandemic infection rates. Our findings have important implications for managers focused on enabling, producing, or consuming predictive analytics for enhanced agility in decision making.