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Local Crowding‐Out in China

Yi Huang, Marco Pagano, Ugo PanizzaFinance金融中介UTD24
Journal of Finance2020-07-27Chinese University of Hong Kong; International Monetary FundDOI
Citations508
Influential12
References140
Semantic Scholar

ABSTRACT In China, between 2006 and 2013, local public debt crowded out the investment of private firms by tightening their funding constraints while leaving state‐owned firms' investment unaffected. We establish this result using a purpose‐built data set for Chinese local public debt. Private firms invest less in cities with more public debt, with the reduction in investment larger for firms located farther from banks in other cities or more dependent on external funding. Moreover, in cities where public debt is high, private firms' investment is more sensitive to internal cash flow.

DebtCrowding outInvestment (military)BusinessChinaCash flowPublic investmentMonetary economicsFinanceExternal debtFinancial systemEconomics